For reservoir operation, maintaining a quasi-natural flow regime can benefit river ecosystems, but may sacrifice human interests. This study took the Qingshitan Reservoir in the Lijiang River as a case, and developed an optimization model to explore a trade-off solution between social-economic interests and nature flow maintenance on a monthly base. The objective function considered irrigation, cruise navigation and water supply aspects. An index of flow alteration degree was proposed to measure the difference between the regulated discharge and the natural flow. The index was then used as an additional constraint in the model besides the conventional constraints on reservoir safety. During model solving, different criteria were applied to the index, representing various degrees of alteration of the natural flow regime in the river. Through the model, a relationship between social-economic interests and flow alteration degree was established. Finally, a trade-off solution of the reservoir operation was defined that led to a favorable social-economic benefit at an acceptable alteration of the natural flow.
参数的合理取值决定着模型的模拟效果,因此确定研究区域的模型结构后,需要对模型的参数进行优化。湖泊水质模型(Simulation by means of an Analytical Lake Model,SALMO)利用常微分方程描述湖泊的营养物质循环和食物链动态,考虑了多个生态过程,包含104个参数。由于参数较多,不适宜采用传统参数优化方法进行优化。利用太湖梅梁湾2005年数据,采用实码遗传算法优化了SALMO模型中相对敏感的参数,运用优化后的模型,模拟了梅梁湾2006年的水质。对比分析参数优化前后模型的效果表明遗传算法能高效地对SALMO进行参数优化,优化后的模拟精度得到了显著提高,能更好地模拟梅梁湾的水质变化。
