潜力在农业生产，食物价格和农民上简历乙醇扩大影响的现在的纸分析是在中国的不同区域的收入。结果显示出受欢迎的那增加因为生产简历乙醇的化工物品将在农业产品的价格导致大增加。increase in prices 将以更低的米饭和小麦生产的成本在化工物品的生产触发重要上升。学习也表明农民的收入上的简历乙醇的影响主要在区域和农民组之中变化。以后给简历乙醇生产的期望的扩大，并且为在中国的化工物品生产的有限陆地资源，为简历乙醇的化工物品在中国的简历乙醇节目的大规模扩大前要求小心的分析的不同庄稼的生存能力。在中国的简历乙醇生产应该更正在依靠简历乙醇技术的第二代(即使用纤维素生产简历乙醇) ，并且中国的政府应该在这个领域里增加研究投资。
Huanguang QiuJikun HuangMichiel KeyzerWim van Veen
This study aims to examine the impact of the China–ASEAN Free Trade Area (CAFTA) on China’s international agricultural trade and its regional agricultural development, using the Global Trade Analysis Project model and the China Agricultural Decision Support System. Our analysis showed that: (i) CAFTA will improve resource allocation efficiencies for both China and ASEAN and will promote bilateral agricultural trade and, hence, will have positive effects on the economic development of both sides; (ii) CAFTA will accelerate China’s export of the agricultural commodities in which it has comparative advantages, such as vegetables, wheat and horticultural products, but at the same time bring about a large increase in imports of commodities such as vegetable oil and sugar; and (iii) CAFTA will have significantly varying impacts on China’s regional agricultural development because of large differences in the agricultural production structure in each region. Our results indicate that agriculture in the northern, northeastern and eastern regions of China will benefit from CAFTA, whereas agriculture development in southern China will suffer. Those regional specific impacts are quite different from the effects brought by multilateral free trade treaties, such as those of the WTO, which usually have positive effects on south China but negative impacts on the northern and western parts of China.
