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国家自然科学基金(51178466)

作品数:9 被引量:86H指数:4
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城市天气类型及其对污染物质量浓度的影响被引量:7
2013年
根据长沙市2005—2009年每天24 h气象数据和天平均污染物(SO2与NO2)浓度,运用主成分(PCA)与聚类(CA)统计分析方法对影响城市大气污染物扩散的地面天气进行分类,得出影响污染物浓度的主要天气类型,分析不同天气类型下的污染物浓度变化特征。研究结果表明:高压反气旋控制之下容易形成高浓度污染,而在低压气旋或槽等天气类型控制时污染物浓度相对较低;同一种天气类型对不同污染物的影响程度也有所不同。研究结果能为大气环境质量预报与空气污染总量控制等措施提供科学依据。
贺广兴邓启红
关键词:空气污染主成分分析聚类分析
大气污染对儿童鼻炎发病率的影响被引量:16
2013年
近年来,我国儿童过敏性鼻炎发病率迅速增加,但其原因尚不明确.近期研究表明,我国室外大气污染不断加剧可能是导致儿童鼻炎的潜在原因,因此,本文主要研究室外大气污染物对鼻炎发病率的影响.本研究对长沙市4988个1—8岁儿童进行标准问卷调查,问卷包括健康状况、家庭环境、过敏原暴露等因素,同时收集了长沙市2006—2011年室外大气污染物PM10,SO2,N02浓度监测数据.结果表明,长沙市3~6岁儿童确诊鼻炎发病率为8.4%(95%CI,7.0%。10.0%1.儿童鼻炎发病率与室外污染物平均背景浓度无关,而-9年龄累积PM10,SO2,NO2浓度显著正相关.研究表明儿童长期暴露于高浓度大气污染可能是导致鼻炎的重要原因.
路婵邓启红欧翠云刘蔚巍SUNDELL Jan
关键词:空气污染过敏性鼻炎逻辑回归
基于BP人工神经网络的大气颗粒物PM_(10)质量浓度预测被引量:49
2012年
根据2008年长沙市火车站监测点全年大气PM10及气象参数的小时平均数据,建立BP人工神经网络预测模型,预测PM10小时平均浓度。为证明人工神经网络模型用于预测PM10质量浓度的准确性,研究中考虑2种预测模型:多元线性回归模型与人工神经网络模型。研究结果表明:与传统的多元线性回归模型相比,人工神经网络模型能够捕捉污染物浓度与气象因素间的非线性影响规律,能更好地预测PM10质量浓度,拟合优度R2有较大提高;所选取气象参数及污染源强变量能较准确地描述大气PM10质量浓度的实时变化,用于PM10质量浓度的预测准确度较高,整体R2可达0.62;人工神经网络预测模型不仅适用于一般污染浓度情况,对于高污染时期PM10质量浓度的预测也较为准确。
石灵芝邓启红路婵刘蔚巍
关键词:BP人工神经网络PM10多元线性回归
Effects of ambient air pollution on allergic rhinitis among preschool children in Changsha, China被引量:7
2013年
Prevalence of allergic rhinitis has rapidly increased among Chinese children,but the reasons are unclear.Recent findings have suggested that exposure to outdoor air pollutants may increase the risk of allergic rhinitis,but the results were inconsistent.This study further investigated the effect of outdoor air pollutants on allergic rhinitis among preschool children.A standardized questionnaire on health,home and environmental factors was conducted for 4988 children aged 1–8 in the city of Changsha,and the concentrations of PM10(particle diameter 10 m),sulfur dioxide(SO2)and nitrogen dioxide(NO2)during 2006–2011 were acquired from the official web of Changsha Environmental Protection Agency.Results showed that the prevalence of children’s doctor diagnosed rhinitis was 8.4%(95%confidence interval[CI]7.0%–10.0%).It was found that the prevalence of rhinitis was not associated with site-specific background concentrations of air pollutants,but significantly positively correlated with age-related accumulative personal exposure of PM10,SO2and NO2.We conclude that age-related accumulative personal exposure to ambient air pollution may play an important role in the development of rhinitis.
LU ChanDENG QiHongOU CuiYunLIU WeiWeiSUNDELL Jan
关键词:学龄前儿童环境空气污染空气污染物环境保护局
Numerical simulation of particle deposition in obstructive human airways
2012年
To investigate airflow pattern and its impact on particle deposition, finite-volume based computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations were conducted in the diseased triple-bifitrcation airways. Computations were carried out for twenty Reynolds numbers ranging from 100 to 2 000 in the step of 100. Particles in the size range of 1-10 μm were conducted. Two particle deposition mechanisms (gravitational sedimentation and inertial impaction) were considered. The results indicate that there are strong relationship between airflow structures and particle deposition patterns. Deposition efficiency is different for different particles in the whole range of the respiratory rates. Particles in different sizes can deposit at different sites. Smaller particles can be uniformly deposited at the inside wall of the considered model. Larger particles can be mainly deposited in the proximal bifurcations. Deposition fraction varies a lot for different inlet Reynolds numbers. For lower Reynolds numbers, deposition fraction is relatively small and varies a little with varying the diameters. For Reynolds number to target the aerosols at the specific site. higher Reynolds numbers, there is a most efficient diameter for each
欧翠云邓启红刘蔚巍
Characteristics of ventilation coefficient and its impact on urban air pollution被引量:1
2012年
The temporal variation of ventilation coefficient was estimated and a simple model for the prediction of urban ventilation coefficient in Changsha was developed. Firstly, Pearson correlation analysis was used to investigate the relationship between meteorological parameters and mixing layer height during 2005-2009 in Changsha, China. Secondly, the multi-linear regression model between daytime and nighttime was adopted to predict the temporal ventilation coefficient. Thirdly, the validation of the model between the predicted and observed ventilation coefficient in 2010 was conducted. The results showed that ventilation coefficient significantly varied and remained high during daytime, while it stayed relatively constant and low during nighttime. In addition, the diurnal ventilation coefficient was distinctly negatively correlated with PM10 (particle with the diameter less than 10 μm) concentration in Changsha, China. The predicted ventilation coefficient agreed well with the observed values based on the multi-linear regression models during daytime and nighttime. The urban temporal ventilation coefficient could be accurately predicted by some simple meteorological parameters during daytime and nighttime. The ventilation coefficient played an important role in the PM10 concentration level.
路婵邓启红刘蔚巍黄柏良石灵芝
Extreme air pollution events:Modeling and prediction
2012年
In order to get prepared for the coming extreme pollution events and minimize their harmful impacts, the first and most important step is to predict their possible intensity in the future. Firstly, the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) in extreme value theory was used to fit the extreme pollution concentrations of three main pollutants: PM10, NO2 and SO:, from 2005 to 2010 in Changsha, China. Secondly, the prediction results were compared with actual data by a scatter plot. Four statistical indicators: EMA (mean absolute error), ERMS (root mean square error), IA (index of agreement) and R2 (coefficient of determination) were used to evaluate the goodness-of-fit as well. Thirdly, the return levels corresponding to different return periods were calculated by the fitted distributions. The fitting results show that the distribution of PM10 and SO2 belongs to exponential distribution with a short tail while that of the NOe belongs to beta distribution with a bounded tail. The scatter plot and four statistical indicators suggest that GPD agrees well with the actual data. Therefore, the fitted distribution is reliable to predict the return levels corresponding to different return periods. The predicted return levels suggest that the intensity of coming pollution events for PM10 and SO2 will be even worse in the future, which means people have to get enough preparation for them.
周松梅邓启红刘蔚巍
风速及风向对城市热岛强度的影响研究被引量:4
2016年
为研究气象参数风对城市热岛效应影响,利用2008—2013年长沙气象局提供的相关气象数据,采用统计方法,首次研究了风速和风向对热岛强度分布规律的影响。结果表明:长沙热岛效应主要发生在晚间;热岛强度值随风速的增大而降低;处于顺风方向上的南北方向,两者热岛强度的差值随风速的增大而逐渐减少;处于与风向垂直方向上的东西方向,两者热岛强度的差值不受风速大小的影响。气象参数风对城市热岛强度和空间分布影响显著。
贺广兴王先华孙杰
关键词:城市热岛风速风向
热与污染物在不同建筑楼层间的传输行为与分布特性被引量:2
2013年
对自然通风高层建筑不同楼层之间空气流动及热与污染物的跨层传输行为规律进行数值研究,采用计算流体动力学(CFD)技术系统分析污染源的强度、热源的强度和不同开窗方式对热与污染物传输的影响。研究结果表明:污染物可以从低层传输到高层,并且污染源的强度越强,污染物传输能力越强,高层房间污染物的平均浓度越高;热源对污染物的传输有重要影响,热源强度越大,更有利于污染物的传输到高层房间;对于单侧有2个开口的建筑,污染物的传输能力较强,高层污染物的平均浓度较高;当每一层都存在热源与污染源时,由于热与污染物的累积效应,污染物浓度和温度随着楼层的增加而升高;建筑中污染源/热源与外界环境空气间的浓度/温度差产生的浮升力引起空气在不同楼层间的流动,对高层建筑不同楼层之间热与污染物的传播有重要影响。
李海英周叶邓启红
关键词:高层建筑空气污染自然通风计算流体动力学
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