[Objective] Camellia oleifera Abel is a typical woody oil plant in China and it has many functional components. Since it was first found in 1980, Basilepta melanopus Lefevre has become the pest with outbreak area, which makes the yield and quality of camellia seed oil suffer great losses. The aim was to provide refer- ences for the field damages and prediction of Basilepta melanopus Lefevre based on severity of damage and the actual need for prediction of B. melanopus. [Meth- ods] The investigation was carried out to study the average number of wormholes in damaged leaves, average number of fruit per branch and leaf damage rate caused by B. melanopus using point-survey systematically at Yong＇an Town of Changsha, Hunan Province from early May to middle June in 2014. Six functions were used to find the optimal model through fitting to calculate the threshold of mean wormhole number. [Results] The cubic equations had the best effects in fitting the 3 pairs of variables of average wormhole number and camellia fruit, camellia fruit and leaf damage rate, and wormhole number and leaf damage rate, and the variance analy- sis reached the extreme significant difference （P〈0.05）. [Conclusion] Based on these mathematical models, the threshold of wormhole number is 5.01 per leaf.
