Numerical experiments on forcing dissipation and heating response of dipole (unipole) are carried out using global spectral models with quasi-geostrophic barotropic vorticity equations. For each experiment model integration is run for 90 days on the condition of three-wave quasi-resonance. The results are given as follows: Under the effects of dipole (unipole) forcing source and basic flow intensity, there exist strong interactions among the three planetary waves and quasi-biweekly and intraseasonal oscillation of the three planetary waves. In the meantime, the changes in the intensity of dipole or unipole forcing source and basic flow have different frequency modulation effects on LFO in the middle and higher latitudes. The results of the stream function field of three quasi-resonant waves evolving with time confirm that the low-frequency oscillation exists in extratropical latitude.
Taking Tropical Cyclone (TC) No.9806 (Todd) as an example, the effects of Zhoushanarchipelago terrain on landfall TC are investigated by use of numerical simulation. Results show that, undertopographic influences of Zhoushan Islands, the westward-moving landfall TC deflects. And, small orographichighs and enhanced rainfall caused by climbing airflow on the windward slope of main mountains of theseislands are a result of effects of Zhoushan Islands. These results display some particular laws of effects ofsmall-sized islands on the landfall of TC.
With simultaneous observed sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA), the difference betweenNCEP/NCAR 925hPa reanalysis wind stress anomaly (NCEPWSA) and FSU wind stress anomaly (FSUWSA) isanalyzed, and the prediction abilities of Zebiak-Cane coupled ocean-atmosphere model (ZC coupled model) withNCEPWSA and FSUWSA serving respectively as initialization wind are compared. The results are as follows.The distribution feature of NCEPWSA matches better with that of the observed SSTA than counterpart ofFSUWSA both in 1980s and in 1990s; The ZC ocean model has a better skill under the forcing of NCEPWSAthan that of FSUWSA, especially in 1990s. Meanwhile, the forecast abilities of the ZC coupled model in 1990sas well as in 1980s have been improved employing NCEPWSA as initialization wind instead of FSUWSA.Particularly, it succeeded in predicting 1997/1998 El Nio 6 to 8 months ahead; further analysis shows that onthe antecedent and onset stages of the 1997/1998 El Nio event, the horizontal cold and warm distributioncharacteristics of the simulated SSTA from ZC ocean model, with NCEPWSA forcing compared to FSUWSAforcing, match better with counterparts of the corresponding observed SSTA, whereby providing betterpredication initialization conditions for ZC coupled model, which, in turn, is favorable to improve the forecastability of the coupled model.
