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国家自然科学基金(40905046)

作品数:7 被引量:34H指数:3
相关作者:聂肃平俞乐史学丽居为民刘向文更多>>
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7 条 记 录,以下是 1-9
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一套新的30年全球台站逐日降水资料集
对全球无线通讯系统(GTS)1980-2009年全球台站逐日降水资料进行质量控制和检验评估。有效地过滤了错误和不可靠的降水观测记录,构建了一套新的全球台站逐日降水资料集。利用CMAP和GPCP降水产品进行的检验评估表明,...
聂肃平吴统文李伟平王在志史学丽罗勇
关键词:逐日降水
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背景误差协方差矩阵不同求逆方案在高度计资料同化试验中的应用比较
2012年
针对海表高度计资料的同化,考查了背景误差协方差矩阵的不同求逆方案对同化效果的影响。所使用的求逆方案包括避免求逆的经验正交函数方案(EOF/EOF_var)、递归滤波方案(RF/RF_var)以及采用初等变换法直接求逆的方案(Inv)。基于上述方案开展了热带太平洋地区2002年1-7月的TOPEX/Poseidon高度计资料同化试验,并利用SODA再分析资料和TAO观测资料评估了各方案对温度场的同化效果,主要得到如下结果:与SODA相比较,Inv方案对模式温度场改进甚微,其余四种方案在100~300m深度之间对温度场改进较多,在其它深度范围内则改进较少;与TAO观测相比较,EOF_var、RF_var方案对模式温度场改进最多,EOF和RF方案次之,Inv方案则对温度场改进甚少。
刘向文李维京吴统文肖贤俊
关键词:经验正交函数均方根误差
A Strategy for Merging Objective Estimates of Global Daily Precipitation from Gauge Observations, Satellite Estimates, and Numerical Predictions被引量:3
2016年
This paper describes a strategy for merging daily precipitation information from gauge observations, satellite estimates(SEs), and numerical predictions at the global scale. The strategy is designed to remove systemic bias and random error from each individual daily precipitation source to produce a better gridded global daily precipitation product through three steps.First, a cumulative distribution function matching procedure is performed to remove systemic bias over gauge-located land areas. Then, the overall biases in SEs and model predictions(MPs) over ocean areas are corrected using a rescaled strategy based on monthly precipitation. Third, an optimal interpolation(OI)–based merging scheme(referred as the HL-OI scheme)is used to combine unbiased gauge observations, SEs, and MPs to reduce random error from each source and to produce a gauge—satellite–model merged daily precipitation analysis, called BMEP-d(Beijing Climate Center Merged Estimation of Precipitation with daily resolution), with complete global coverage. The BMEP-d data from a four-year period(2011–14) demonstrate the ability of the merging strategy to provide global daily precipitation of substantially improved quality.Benefiting from the advantages of the HL-OI scheme for quantitative error estimates, the better source data can obtain more weights during the merging processes. The BMEP-d data exhibit higher consistency with satellite and gauge source data at middle and low latitudes, and with model source data at high latitudes. Overall, independent validations against GPCP-1DD(GPCP one-degree daily) show that the consistencies between BMEP-d and GPCP-1DD are higher than those of each source dataset in terms of spatial pattern, temporal variability, probability distribution, and statistical precipitation events.
Suping NIETongwen WUYong LUOXueliang DENGXueli SHIZaizhi WANGXiangwen LIUJianbin HUANG
关键词:降水估计卫星测量
Quality Control and Analysis of Global Gauge-Based Daily Precipitation Dataset from 1980 to 2009被引量:3
2012年
A series of quality control(QC) procedures were performed on a gauge-based global daily precipitation dataset from the Global Telecommunication System(GTS) for the period 1980-2009.A new global daily precipitation(NGDP) dataset was constructed by applying those QC procedures to eliminate erroneous records.The NGDP dataset was evaluated using the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation(CMAP) and the Global Precipitation Climatology Project(GPCP) precipitation datasets.The results showed that the frequency distribution and spatial distribution pattern of NGDP had a nice match with those from the CMAP and GPCP datasets.The global mean correlation coefficients with the CMAP and GPCP data increased from 0.24 for original GTS precipitation data to about 0.70 for NGDP data.Correspondingly,the root mean square errors(RMSE) decreased from 12 mm per day to 1 mm per day.The interannual variabilities of NGDP monthly precipitation are consistent with the CMAP and GPCP datasets in Asia.Meanwhile,the seasonal variabilities for most land areas on the Earth of NGDP dataset are also consistent with the CMAP and GPCP precipitation products.
NIE Su-PingLUO YongLI Wei-PingWU Tong-WenSHI Xue-LiWANG Zai-Zhi
关键词:日降水量降水气候气候预测NOAA
Climate effects of the GlobeLand30 land cover dataset on the Beijing Climate Center climate model simulations被引量:9
2016年
Land cover is one of the most basic input elements of land surface and climate models. Currently, the direct and indirect effects of land cover data on climate and climate change are receiving increasing attentions. In this study, a high resolution(30 m) global land cover dataset(Globe Land30) produced by Chinese scientists was, for the first time, used in the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model(BCC_CSM) to assess the influences of land cover dataset on land surface and climate simulations. A two-step strategy was designed to use the Globe Land30 data in the model. First, the Globe Land30 data were merged with other satellite remote sensing and climate datasets to regenerate plant functional type(PFT) data fitted for the BCC_CSM. Second, the up-scaling based on an area-weighted approach was used to aggregate the fine-resolution Globe Land30 land cover type and area percentage with the coarser model grid resolutions globally. The Globe Land30-based and the BCC_CSM-based land cover data had generally consistent spatial distribution features, but there were some differences between them. The simulation results of the different land cover type dataset change experiments showed that effects of the new PFT data were larger than those of the new glaciers and water bodies(lakes and wetlands). The maximum value was attained when dataset of all land cover types were changed. The positive bias of precipitation in the mid-high latitude of the northern hemisphere and the negative bias in the Amazon, as well as the negative bias of air temperature in part of the southern hemisphere, were reduced when the Globe Land30-based data were used in the BCC_CSM atmosphere model. The results suggest that the Globe Land30 data are suitable for use in the BCC_CSM component models and can improve the performance of the land and atmosphere simulations.
SHI XueLiNIE SuPingJU WeiMinYU Le
关键词:气候影响气候模型
Simulation of freezing and melting of soil on the northeast Tibetan Plateau被引量:14
2011年
Using observational data spanning the period from February to December 2009 and recorded at the Suli station in Qinghai Province,the land-surface model CLM3.0 was employed to simulate the freezing and melting of soil.The results indicate that the simulated soil temperature is higher than the observed soil temperature and the ultimate thawing date is earlier than the observed date during the melting period.During the freezing period,the simulated soil temperature is lower than the observed soil temperature and the ultimate freezing of the deep soil is earlier than that observed.Overall,the simulation of freezing is better than that of melting,and the simulation of a shallow layer is better than that of a deeper layer.In the original CLM3.0,it is assumed that frozen soil begins to melt when the soil temperature exceeds 0C,which is inconsistent with observations.The critical freeze-thaw temperature was calculated according to thermodynamics equations and the freeze-thaw condition was modified.In this work,the melting rate for frozen soil was reduced using the modified scheme,and the simulated soil temperature was lowered. Meanwhile,the refreezing of soil during the melting season was well simulated and more closely matched observations.Additionally,it was found that the rates of melting and freezing differ,with the former being slower than the latter,but refreezing during the melting season is rather quick.
XIA Kun 1,2,3,LUO Yong 2,4,5 & LI WeiPing 2 1 Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China
关键词:土壤温度青藏高原东北部
基于MODIS的春、夏季中国近海气溶胶对于云参数的影响差异研究
2014年
通过分析中国近海MODIS数据中气溶胶参数与云参数的相互关系,讨论了该区域气溶胶的间接效应及其对于云的可能影响.结果表明,在中国近海,气溶胶具有明显的间接效应,而且由于气溶胶种类和水汽的季节变化,使得气溶胶的间接作用具有很强的时间变化特征.在夏季,由于人为气溶胶占主导,它作为有效的云凝结核,使得气溶胶光学厚度(AOT)分别与云凝结核数(CCN)有正相关、与云滴有效半径(CER)有负相关性、与云光学厚度(COT)也存在着正相关,气溶胶的间接效应明显;在春季,由于沙尘气溶胶盛行,同时沙尘并不是很好的云凝结核,使得气溶胶光学厚度(AOT)分别与云凝结核数(CCN)的正相关减弱、与云滴有效半径(CER)则由夏季的负相关变为正相关、与云光学厚度(COT)存在弱的负相关,气溶胶的间接效应不明显.
邓学良邓伟涛聂肃平
关键词:MODIS气溶胶中国近海
一套基于新的客观分析策略的全球多源逐日降水融合资料
<正>1.引言降水是全球气候系统中最重要的气候变量之一。准确的全球尺度格点降水对于天气预报、气候变化、农业科学以及水资源和灾害风险管理等领域有重要的促进作用(Huffman and Klepp,2011)。台站观测、卫星...
聂肃平吴统文罗勇邓学良史学丽王在志刘向文黄建斌
关键词:偏差订正
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GlobeLand30地表数据对北京气候中心气候模式的影响被引量:5
2016年
地表覆盖是陆面及气候模式中的重要基础变量,其数据质量对气候模式性能有显著影响.本文基于一套中国自主研制的全球30m地表覆盖数据(GlobeLand30),利用北京气候中心气候系统模式(Beijing Climate CenterClimateSystemModel,BCC_CSM)中的陆面过程和大气环流分量模式,开展GlobeLand30数据对气候模式性能影响的研究.首先通过GlobeLand30和其他卫星遥感等辅助数据融合细化植被功能型(Plant FunctionType,PFT)类型数据满足BCC_CSM模式需求,然后利用基于面积比例的升尺度方法得到适合于全球模式的不同覆盖类型及其面积百分比数据.GlobeLand30与模式原有覆盖数据都能合理描述全球地表覆盖基本分布特征,但也存在一定差异,其中植被PFT类型的差别最明显.通过数值模拟试验全面评估GlobeLand30数据对模式结果的影响,结果表明在BCC_CSM的陆面模式和大气模式中采用GlobeLand30数据可以合理再现陆面与大气的基本气候特征;更新植被PFT数据的气候效应大于更新冰川和水体类型,综合更新所有覆盖类型数据对模拟结果的影响最大.引入GlobeLand30数据可降低BCC_CSM大气模式对北半球中高纬地区降水的正偏差和南美亚马逊等地区模拟降水的负偏差,以及南半球部分地区大气温度模拟的负偏差,因此GlobeLand30数据适用于BCC_CSM分量模式并对改善模式性能有正贡献.
史学丽聂肃平居为民俞乐
关键词:地表覆盖气候模式数值模拟大气温度降水
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