Combining the field monitoring results of a deep-buried tunnel in Chongqing,the dynamic characteristics of the surrounding rock system under high in situ stress wasanalyzed by phase space reconstruction, calculating correlation dimension, Kolmogoroventropy and largest Lyapunov exponents.Both the Kolmogorov entropy and largestLyapunov exponents show that the surrounding rock system is a chaotic one.Based onthis, a local model was applied to predict surrounding rock displacement, and a nonlineardynamic model was derived to forecast the interaction of the surrounding rock and supportstructure.The local method was found to have an extremely small total error.Also, thenonlinear dynamic model forecasting curves agree with the monitoring ones very well.It isproved that the nonlinear dynamic characteristic study is very important in analyzing rockstability and predicting the evolution of rock systems.
