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国家自然科学基金(40505009)

作品数:10 被引量:145H指数:5
相关作者:邓国李应林邓莲堂龚建东陈静更多>>
相关机构:中国气象局广东省气象台中国气象科学研究院更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划公益性行业(气象)科研专项更多>>
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10 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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THE THEORY OF MOIST POTENTIAL VORTICITY AND ITS APPLICATION IN THE DIAGNOSIS OF TYPHOON RAINFALL AND INTENSITY
2009年
This paper tests the impacts of cloud-induced mass forcing on the moist potential vorticity (MPV) anomaly associated with torrential rains caused by Typhoon No.9914 (Dan) by using fine model simulation data outputted by the Fifth-Generation NCAR / Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5). The diagnostic results show that the positive MPV anomaly region,which is obtained by integrating the MPV from 600 hPa to 300 hPa in the vertical,roughly coincides with the precipitation at their synchronous stages either in position or in the distribution pattern,and the maximum positive MPV area of Dan is located mainly between 600 hPa and 300 hPa,which is much higher than torrential rain cases. Further analyses also showed that the value of positive MPV anomaly increased or decreased with the development of Dan,and the positive MPV anomaly may also be served as a tracer to indicate the evolution of tropical cyclone intensity.
邓国高守亭
关键词:热带气旋强度湿位涡中尺度暴雨
冷空气强度影响“泰利”(0513)降水增幅的数值研究
"泰利"台风(0513)登陆后降水发生显著增幅,导致了华东地区严重洪涝、山体滑坡和泥石流等严重灾害,是2005年降水最强、导致死亡人数第二多的热带气旋。初步观测分析得到,降水增幅发生和低层冷空气入侵有关。冷空气对本次降水...
董美莹陈联寿李英郑沛群
关键词:冷空气热带气旋降水增幅
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国家级区域集合预报系统研发和性能检验被引量:52
2010年
该文简要介绍了中国气象局国家气象中心研发的区域中尺度集合预报系统主要技术特点:在初值扰动技术方面,通过研究中国地区中尺度模式预报误差快速增长特点、中国地形地貌特征与观测资料的分布情况,研发适合于中尺度模式的增长模繁殖法扰动技术构造初值场;分析数值模式物理过程参数化方案内在的不确定性以及对强对流天气和近地面要素预报的差异,确定多物理过程扰动技术方案。解决全球集合预报扰动信息向中尺度集合预报输入的关键技术,实现中尺度区域集合预报系统与全球中期集合预报系统的嵌套。在模式后处理方面,解决中尺度集合预报结果的偏差订正技术;开发满足多种需求的多要素、多层次概率预报产品和概率预报检验产品。在世界天气研究计划"2008年北京奥运会中尺度集合预报研究开发项目"3年实时预报试验比较评价中,中国气象局国家气象中心区域中尺度集合预报系统总体预报能力与国外同类系统相当。
邓国龚建东邓莲堂陈静崔应杰胡江凯王晓聪李应林李莉
RETRIEVING ATMOSPHERIC SOUNDING PROFILES AROUND TYPHOON YUNNA USING INFRARED HYPERSPECTRAL MEASUREMENTS AIRS
2010年
In this study,we derived atmospheric profiles of temperature,moisture,and ozone,along with surface emissivity,skin temperature,and surface pressure,from infrared-sounder radiances under clear sky (cloudless) condition.Clouds were detected objectively using the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder under a relatively low spatial resolution and cloud-mask information from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer under a high horizontal resolution;this detection was conducted using space matching.Newton’s nonlinear physical iterative solution technique is applied to the radiative transfer equation (RTE) to retrieve temperature profiles,relative humidity profiles,and surface variables simultaneously.This technique is carried out by using the results of an eigenvector regression retrieval as the background profile and using corresponding iterative forms for the weighting functions of temperature and water-vapor mixing ratio.The iterative forms are obtained by applying the variational principle to the RTE.We also compared the retrievals obtained with different types of observations.The results show that the retrieved atmospheric sounding profile has great superiority over other observations by accuracy and resolution.Retrieved profiles can be used to improve the initial conditions of numerical models and used in areas where conventional observations are sparse,such as plateaus,deserts,and seas.
黄兵刘建文白杰李耀东高守亭
关键词:MODIS
登陆热带气旋降水增幅与非增幅的合成诊断分析
登陆热带气旋降水增幅(Rainfall Reinforcement Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclone,简称RRLTC)是指热带气旋(TC)登陆后其降水突然明显加强的...
董美莹陈联寿李英
关键词:降水增幅大尺度环流特征动能收支
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有限区域风场分解方法及其在台风SAOMEI研究中的应用被引量:34
2008年
介绍了有限区域水平风场分解的调和-余弦计算方法,该方法把函数分成两部分之和.第一部分是Laplace方程在给定边界条件下的解,由于Laplace方程的解是调和函数,这个部分可称为调和部分,又因为其与区域内部值无关,也称外部部分.第二部分是原始函数与调和部分之差,这个函数是齐次边条件下Poisson方程的解,只与区域内部的涡度或散度有关,故称为内部部分,可以展开成双傅氏的余旋函数系列.调和-余弦计算方法的求导都是用谱系数进行,计算精度比常用的差分方法高两阶以上.而且,由于外部部分对应的边界条件物理意义清楚,边界光滑,成功克服了有限区域流函数和速度势迭代求解出现的计算不稳定、原始风场无法还原、边界上的系统缺失等问题,可以准确分解和重建有限区域的风场.利用NCEP/NCAR1°×1°的实时分析资料和日本气象厅区域谱模式(RSM)20 km分辨率的再分析资料,利用调和-余弦算法得到的无辐散风分量和无旋风分量,对2006年的8号超强台风"桑美"(SAOMEI)进行风场结构的比较分析.结果发现,低层无辐散风比原始风场与台风中心的对应关系更好;同时,无旋风分量能更好地显示原始风场上并不明显的低层辐合高层辐散的特征,大尺度无辐散风分量可以更清晰地显示出台风的水汽输送通道.从与台风中心的对应关系看,台风在海上发展阶段,SAOMEI台风的旋转中心与辐合中心并不是时时重合,这个特点只能通过风场分解才能得到.此外,SAOMEI登陆以后,南部洋面上发展起来的对流活动从水汽和能量补充方面都不利于SAOMEI的维持.可见,分解后的无辐散风场和无旋风场能更清楚地体现出SAOMEI的风场结构,在台风结构分析中有重要的推广应用价值.
周玉淑曹洁高守亭
关键词:台风
Study on wavy distribution of rainfall associated with typhoon Matsa (2005)被引量:10
2007年
An analysis is made to investigate the structure features of the extensive heavy rainfall left by typhoon Matsa, after its landfall in China's Mainland in August 2005, based on a range of observational results, including surface intensive observation data, TBB data from China's FY-2 satellite, and NCEP 1°×1° reanalysis data. The study tries to explore the interaction between atmospheric waves, 3-D atmospheric structures, and typhoon rainbands. Observational facts, diagnostic analysis, and atmospheric wave theory are used to look into the formation mechanism of distant typhoon rainbands. Results show that (1) Matsa rainbands have the features of noticeable wave train distribution and long distance propaga-tion; (2) the typhoon rainbands extend as far as 2000 km northwardly from the typhoon center, with a wavelength of 500―1000 km and a wave period of 12―24 h; (3) the wave structure of Matsa rainbands is closely associated with the corresponding wave variation of the ambient 3-D atmospheric structures, including disturbance vorticity, divergence field, vertical motion field, water vapor flux divergence field, etc. (4) both observational facts and theoretical analysis show that the northward extending typhoon rainbands are associated with the mixed effects of atmospheric inertia wave and internal gravity wave; (5) only under proper atmospheric stratification and vertical wavenumber of gravity wave, can a ty-phoon stimulate such a wave being able to reach such a distance, and result in extending wavy rain-bands.
LI YingWANG JiZhiCHEN LianShouYANG YuanQin
关键词:麦莎台风降水
USE OF A NEW STEERING FLOW METHOD TO PREDICT TROPICAL CYCLONE MOTION被引量:1
2010年
A tropical cyclone is a kind of violent weather system that takes place in warmer tropical oceans and spins rapidly around its center and at the same time moves along surrounding flows. It is generally recognized that the large-scale circulation plays a major role in determining the movement of tropical cyclones and the effects of steering flows are the highest priority in the forecasting of tropical cyclone motion and track. This article adopts a new method to derive the steering flow and select a typical swerving track case (typhoon Dan, coded 9914) to illustrate the validity of the method. The general approach is to modify the vorticity, geostropical vorticity and divergence, investigate the change in the non-divergent stream function, geoptential and velocity potential, respectively, and compute a modified velocity field to determine the steering flow. Unlike other methods in regular use such as weighted average of wind fields or geopoential height, this method has the least adverse effects on the environmental field and could derive a proper steering flow which fits well with storm motion. Combined with other internal and external forcings, this method could have wide application in the prediction of tropical cyclone track.
邓国周玉淑刘黎平
有限区域风场分解方法及其应用
<正>介绍了有限区域水平风场分解的调和一余弦计算方法。该方法把函数(如水平风场、流函数和速度势)展开成两个部分之和:第一部分是Laplace方程在给定边界条件下的解,由于Laplace方程的解是调和函数,这个部分可称为调...
周玉淑高守亭
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地形影响热带气旋“泰利”降水增幅的数值研究被引量:40
2011年
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料与日本气象厅区域谱模式的融合资料,采用WRFV2.2模式研究了热带气旋"泰利"(0513)降水增幅过程中的大别山地形效应。结果表明,大别山地形对"泰利"降水影响明显,改变了降水增幅的中心位置,降水强度增幅约为15%,但是降水增幅是否发生与大别山地形无关。大别山地形的存在导致了地形辐合线和中-β尺度低涡的形成和发展,使得迎风坡气流辐合加大和维持。随着"泰利"的移动,其东北侧环流和地形配置发生变化,降水范围和中心也随之变化,强降水主要发生在大别山东坡和南坡,降水中心多位于辐合线和地形迎风坡相交之处。降水增幅期间不同的地形高度造成不同的中低层涡度、散度和上升运动,随着地形的升高,涡度、辐合和上升运动总体加强。增幅期间,地形强迫垂直运动占模式最低层总垂直运动的50%左右,地形强迫对上升运动有明显影响。地形强迫垂直运动极大值出现在峰顶附近的东坡,降水量极大值出现在峰顶和地形强迫垂直运动极大值之间。
董美莹陈联寿程正泉李英
关键词:地形热带气旋降水增幅
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