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国家自然科学基金(41375095)

作品数:9 被引量:76H指数:4
相关作者:谷德军林爱兰纪忠萍更多>>
相关机构:广东省气象台中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金中国科学院战略性先导科技专项全球变化研究国家重大科学研究计划更多>>
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9 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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A Special MJO Event with a Double Kelvin Wave Structure
2017年
The second Madden–Julian Oscillation(MJO)event during the field campaign of the Dynamics of the MJO/Cooperative Indian Ocean Experiment on Intraseasonal Variability in the Year 2011(DYNAMO/CINDY2011)exhibi ted an unusual double rainband structure.Using a wavenumber-frequency spectral filtering method,we unveil that this double rainband structure arises primarily from the Kelvin wave component.The zonal phase speed of the double rainbands is about 7.9 degree per day in the equatorial Indian Ocean,being in the range of convectively coupled Kelvin wave phase speeds.The convection and circulation anomalies associated with the Kelvin wave component are characterized by two anomalous convective cells,with low-level westerly(easterly)and high(low)pressure anomalies to the west(east)of the convective centers,and opposite wind and pressure anomalies in the upper troposphere.Such a zonal wind–pressure phase relationship is consistent with the equatorial free-wave dynamics.While the freeatmospheric circulation was dominated by the first baroclinic mode vertical structure,moisture and vertical motion in the boundary layer led the convection.The convection and circulation structures derived based on the conventional MJO filter show a different characteristic.For example,the phase speed is slower(about 5.9 degree per day),and there were no double convective branches.This suggests that MJO generally involves multi-scales and it is incomplete to extract its signals by using the conventional filtering technique.
Lili ZHUTim LI
关键词:MJO开尔文波季节内变化滤波方法
南海-西太平洋春季对流10-30天振荡强度对南海夏季风爆发早晚的影响
本文采用NCEP再分析资料,揭示了南海-西太平洋(105°E-130°E,5°N-20°N)春季对流存在显著的10-30天振荡周期。在年际尺度上,南海-西太平洋春季对流10-30天振荡强度(简称SCSWP_SISO)与南...
李春晖潘蔚娟李霞刘燕
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广东前汛期降水的多尺度最优预测子集模型
以锋面降水为主的前汛期(4~6月)雨量约占广东省年雨量的40%~50%,是汛期中的主要时段,也是暴雨集中期和各种强对流天气多发季节,易造成严重的暴雨洪涝,给国民经济建设和人民生活带来严重的威胁和巨大的损失。同时广东前汛期...
谷德军纪忠萍林爱兰郑彬李春晖何超
关键词:多尺度短期气候预测
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The Key Oceanic Regions Responsible for the Interannual Variability of the Western North Pacific Subtropical High and Associated Mechanisms被引量:6
2015年
The western North Pacific subtropical high(WNPSH) is an important circulation system that impacts the East Asian summer climate. The interannual variability of the WNPSH is modulated by tropical air-sea interaction. In order to make it clear which oceanic regions are crucial to the interannual variability of the WNPSH, the research progresses in this regard in the past decade are reviewed. Based on the review,it is recognized that five oceanic regions are responsible for the interannual variability of the WNPSH in summer, including the equatorial central–eastern Pacific Ocean, tropical Indian Ocean, subtropical western North Pacific, the vicinity of the maritime continent, and the tropical Atlantic Ocean. The mechanisms how the sea surface temperature anomalies(SSTAs) in these regions affect the WNPSH are elaborated.The formation mechanisms for the SSTAs in these five regions are discussed. Strengths and weaknesses of the climate models in simulating and predicting the WNPSH are also documented. Finally, key scientific problems deserving further studies are proposed.
何超周天军吴波
关键词:西北太平洋副热带高压海洋区域海气相互作用海表温度异常夏季气候
Influence of the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation on Extreme Temperature Events in the Northern Hemisphere被引量:2
2018年
The impact of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation(BSISO) on extreme hot and cool events was investigated, by analyzing the observed and reanalysis data for the period from 1983 to 2012. It is found that the frequency of the extreme events in middle and high latitudes is significantly modulated by the BSISO convection in the tropics,with a 3–9-day lag. During phases 1 and 2 when the BSISO positive rainfall anomaly is primarily located over a northwest–southeast oriented belt extending from India to Maritime Continent and a negative rainfall anomaly appears in western North Pacific, the frequency of extreme hot events is 40% more than the frequency of non-extreme hot events. Most noticeable increase appears in midlatitude North Pacific(north of 40°N) and higher-latitude polar region. Two physical mechanisms are primarily responsible for the change of the extreme frequency. First, an upper-tropospheric Rossby wave train(due to the wave energy propagation) is generated in response to a negative heating anomaly over tropical western North Pacific in phases 1 and 2. This wave train consists of a strong high pressure anomaly center northeast of Japan, a weak low pressure anomaly center over Alaska, and a strong high pressure anomaly center over the western coast of United States. Easterly anomalies to the south of the two strong midlatitude high pressure centers weaken the climatological subtropical jet along 40°N, which is accompanied by anomalous subsidence and warming in North Pacific north of 40°N. Second, an enhanced monsoonal heating over South Asia and East Asia sets up a transverse monsoonal overturning circulation, with large-scale ascending(descending) anomalies over tropical Indian(Pacific) Ocean. Both the processes favor more frequent extreme hot events in higher-latitude Northern Hemisphere. An anomalous atmospheric general circulation model is used to confirm the tropical heating effect.
Yifei DIAOTim LIPang-Chi HSU
关键词:北半球极端温度夏天
Recent Advance in Understanding the Dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation被引量:37
2014年
The Madden-Julian oscillation(MJO) is a dominant atmospheric low-frequency mode in the tropics.In this review article,recent progress in understanding the MJO dynamics is described.Firstly,the fundamental physical processes responsible for MJO eastward phase propagation are discussed.Next,a recent modeling result to address why MJO prefers a planetary zonal scale is presented.The effect of the seasonal mean state on distinctive propagation characteristics between northern winter and summer is discussed in a theoretical framework.Then,the observed precursor signals and the physical mechanism of MJO initiation in the western equatorial Indian Ocean are further discussed.Finally,scale interactions between MJO and higherfrequency eddies are delineated.
李天明
关键词:大气季节内振荡MJO热带地区物理机制前兆信号
2011年夏季广东季风槽暴雨与准双周振荡
2011年6-8月,受季风槽影响,广东省出现了持续多日的暴雨到大暴雨,导致了部分地区遭受洪涝灾害.采用小波分析、Lanczos时间滤波器、合成分析等方法分析了2011年夏季广东季风槽暴雨与大气低频振荡的关系.结果表明,2...
纪忠萍谷德军孙广凤李茵茵罗秋红李晓娟
关键词:天气学准双周振荡
Dependence of Tropical Cyclone Intensification on the Latitude under Vertical Shear
2018年
The sensitivity of tropical cyclone(TC) intensification to the ambient rotation effect under vertical shear is investigated. The results show that the vortices develop more rapidly with intermediate planetary vorticity, which suggests an optimal latitude for the TC development in the presence of vertical shear. This is different from the previous studies in which no mean flow is considered. It is found that the ambient rotation has two main effects. On the one hand,the boundary layer imbalance is largely controlled by the Coriolis parameter. For TCs at lower latitudes, due to the weaker inertial instability, the boundary inflow is promptly established, which results in a stronger moisture convergence and thus greater diabatic heating in the inner core region. On the other hand, the Coriolis parameter modulates the vertical realignment of the vortex with a higher Coriolis parameter, favoring a quicker vertical realignment and thus a greater potential for TC development. The combination of these two effects results in an optimal latitude for TC intensification in the presence of a vertical shear investigated.
Mingyu BIXuyang GETim LI
关键词:CORIOLIS参数调制
影响南海夏季风爆发年际变化的关键海区及机制初探被引量:9
2018年
利用1958—2011年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和ERSST资料,采用Lanczos时间滤波器、相关分析、回归分析、合成分析和交叉检验等方法,研究了影响南海夏季风爆发年际变化的关键海区海温异常的来源与可能机制。结果表明,前冬(12—2月)热带西南印度洋和热带西北太平洋是影响南海夏季风爆发年际变化的关键海区。冬季热带西南印度洋(热带西北太平洋)的异常增暖是由前一年夏季El Ni?o早爆发(强印度季风异常驱动的行星尺度东-西向环流)触发、热带印度洋(西北太平洋)局地海气正反馈过程引起并维持到春季。冬季热带西北太平洋反气旋性环流(气旋性环流)及印度洋(热带西北太平洋)的暖海区局地海气相互作用使得印度洋(热带西北太平洋)海温异常维持到春末。春季,逐渐加强北移到10°N附近的低层大气对北印度洋(热带西北太平洋)暖海温异常响应的东风急流(异常西风)及南海-热带西北太平洋维持的反气旋性环流(气旋性环流)异常,使得南海夏季风晚(早)爆发。
谷德军纪忠萍林爱兰
关键词:南海夏季风爆发年际变化
Factors Controlling the Interannual Variations of MJO Intensity
2016年
The interannual variations of intensity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) during boreal winter are investigated by using the observed outgoing longwave radiation(OLR) and the reanalysis data of ECMWF and NCEP.The standard deviation of 20-80-day filtered OLR anomaly is used to measure the MJO intensity.The dominant spatial structure of the interannual variability is revealed by an EOF analysis of the MJO intensity field.It is found that the leading mode is associated with eastern Pacific type ENSO,whereas the second mode is related to central Pacific type ENSO.A simple atmospheric model is used to investigate the relative roles of background moisture and wind changes in affecting the overall strength of MJO.The numerical experiments indicate that the background moisture effect is dominant while the background wind change has a minor effect.
邓莉李天明刘佳PENG Melinda
关键词:MJO强度场NCEP再分析资料ENSO东太平洋水分效应
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